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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.09+1.56vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.20+1.00vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.20-0.04vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.53-0.60vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.44-0.16vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.34-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-3.09-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Washington University0.0929.4%1st Place
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3.0Purdue University-0.2020.9%1st Place
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2.96Northwestern University-0.2021.4%1st Place
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3.4Ohio State University-0.5316.8%1st Place
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4.84Northwestern University-1.445.1%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University-2.342.4%1st Place
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5.32University of Illinois-3.093.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xinshi Feng | 29.4% | 25.2% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Charlton | 20.9% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Milo Fernandez | 21.4% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Mignogna | 16.8% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Luke Sadalla | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 27.2% | 15.8% |
| Obinnaya Okezie | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 21.8% | 51.2% |
| Arseniy Titov | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 29.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.