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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.31vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.31+13.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+4.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+2.37vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.70+3.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.87+1.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.04-0.72vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.26+1.79vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.57-5.10vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.65-1.75vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy2.20-0.94vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-7.15vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-1.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-4.11vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-4.88vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-7.31vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut0.32+0.59vs Predicted
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20Amherst College0.96-2.85vs Predicted
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21Middlebury College1.85-7.29vs Predicted
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23University of New Hampshire1.71-8.67vs Predicted
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24Brandeis University0.55-5.19vs Predicted
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26Williams College-0.32-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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16.16McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.79Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College2.650.0%1st Place
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12.06Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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6.85Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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11.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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19.59University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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17.15Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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13.71Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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14.33University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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18.81Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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21.06Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Ian Towill | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Blagden | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parish | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 26.2% | 20.7% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Justin Marks | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 20.3% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.