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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.62vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+6.90vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+7.82vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+6.13vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.24vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73+3.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.51vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.81+3.90vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.22vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.74vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.69vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.32vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-8.05vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-6.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.19vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.74-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.9University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 31.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.