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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.68vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+7.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.99vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+4.14vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.47vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.34vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04-0.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-0.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.27vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.03vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-3.17vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-5.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.39vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.04vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.81-3.17vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.73-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.14Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.88Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.73Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.83Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.96Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.83University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 30.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.