← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.71vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+5.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.04+5.87vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.67+6.13vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35+2.34vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.49+5.05vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.91+2.22vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.61vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.75+0.88vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.92-0.52vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.74-0.87vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.98vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.05-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.93vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.81-1.35vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.73-5.94vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College3.06-8.28vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.61-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.2Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.87University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
10.13George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
7.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.05Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.22Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
11.61U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
9.88Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.48Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.13Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
13.65University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
-
10.06College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.72Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.4Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Maeve White | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Darcy Jensen | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 28.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.