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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.69vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+8.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+4.55vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+5.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+4.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+3.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.82vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.46vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.82vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-2.40vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.70vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-5.71vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-6.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.81-3.19vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.54Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Maeve White | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 30.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.