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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.71vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+8.49vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+7.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.70vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.52vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+1.53vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.81+3.90vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-2.42vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.78vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.43vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.86vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.30vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-8.21vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.29College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.78Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.9University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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8.79Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.14Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 32.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Maeve White | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.