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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+7.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.35vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.84vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+4.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+2.12vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+1.92vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.39vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.04vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.81-0.64vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-9.57vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.69vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-5.85vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.06-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.84Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.92Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.36University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 28.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.