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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.26vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+6.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.19vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+1.22vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.26vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.32vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.81+0.52vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.31vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.88vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-10.43vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.73-6.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.26Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.52University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.14College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 28.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.