← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.81vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+5.50vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+7.18vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin3.04+4.55vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.61+5.40vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.73+4.02vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.92+2.17vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.81+5.58vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.74+0.97vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.42-2.64vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.05-2.25vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.02vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.49-2.20vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.64vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.67-4.78vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.49vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.91-7.62vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College3.06-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.18Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
10.4Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.02College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.17Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
13.58University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
-
9.97Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
7.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.75Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
12.02U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.8Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
5.36University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.22George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.38Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.4Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Maeve White | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 29.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.