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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+5.80vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+6.28vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+4.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.55vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.51vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06-0.54vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-1.21vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.81+1.85vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-3.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.24vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-5.94vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.63vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.73-6.99vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.98-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.85University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Maeve White | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Darcy Jensen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 31.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.