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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.77+2.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+1.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.94+0.23vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.84+2.32vs Predicted
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6American University2.24+2.96vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland2.09+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.54-3.71vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.67+0.53vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.27-0.58vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.46-4.72vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.84-4.12vs Predicted
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15St. John's College1.42-4.06vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-10.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
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7.32George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.96American University2.240.0%1st Place
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5.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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10.53Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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11.42William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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8.28Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.88Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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10.94St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 16.6% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.