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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+7.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.45vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+4.03vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+3.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+1.80vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.71vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.56vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98+1.27vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-4.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.49vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.80vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.73-7.03vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.81-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.86Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.27Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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13.39University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Maeve White | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 24.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.