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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+10.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+6.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+6.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.69vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+5.29vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+6.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-1.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+1.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.50vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.38vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.73-1.70vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-5.81vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.74vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-6.06vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-7.78vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.81-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.71U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.69Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.29Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.3College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.94Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.22Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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13.41University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 21.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Maeve White | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.