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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.81+12.65vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.98+11.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.13vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+1.56vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.73+1.80vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.30vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-1.25vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-2.36vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.68vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-3.35vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-3.95vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-5.13vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.30vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.92-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.65University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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13.24Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.8College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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10.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.75Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Jensen | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 27.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.