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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.21vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+8.12vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+7.06vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+3.82vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.49vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+1.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91+0.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-1.27vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.44vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.89vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-1.34vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.94vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.33vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.81-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.12Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.84Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.66Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.41University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Maeve White | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 18.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.