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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+6.44vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.54vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+2.51vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+0.56vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.87vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.81-0.46vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-6.63vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-6.13vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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5.37Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 29.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.