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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.76vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+5.51vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+4.52vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+6.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.42vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55+1.77vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.34+4.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33+0.04vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.05vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.55vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.23-0.35vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.27vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.93vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-8.96vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.84-10.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.98Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.58University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.65University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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12.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Martina Sly | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 26.7% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.