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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+7.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+7.25vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+5.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+3.37vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.65vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.86vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.34+4.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33-0.03vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.05vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.23-0.38vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.43vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.74-3.86vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-8.20vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.86Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.55University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.16Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.62University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.14Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 25.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.