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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.40vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+4.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.27vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+2.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+2.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.46vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74+2.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.44vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+1.07vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.23+0.73vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-5.25vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.67-6.75vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-8.31vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.87-5.26vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.34-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.37Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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13.73University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Martina Sly | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 18.3% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 25.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.