← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.67+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.56+6.99vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.20+3.40vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.87+7.41vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.55+3.73vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.65+2.39vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.76+0.93vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.84-0.40vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.67-0.72vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.33-0.01vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+1.90vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.58-2.98vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin1.34+0.39vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.50-5.26vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.45vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.74-3.81vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.80vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.23-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.99Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
6.4Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.41U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
8.73Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.39Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.93Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.6Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.28College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
9.99Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
12.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
-
9.02George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
13.39University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.74Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
12.19Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
13.79University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Martina Sly | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 23.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.