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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.43vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+8.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+4.69vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.37vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.99vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.67+0.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+3.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-0.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.46vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+1.04vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-3.41vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-6.30vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-6.38vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-8.31vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.23-2.95vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.34-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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12.14Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.05University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Martina Sly | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 28.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.