← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.13vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.94+2.11vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.84+4.12vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+1.66vs Predicted
-
5Washington College2.46+3.33vs Predicted
-
6American University2.24+3.00vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University3.67-2.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia3.54-2.77vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.77-4.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland2.09-0.59vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University1.84-0.96vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary1.27-0.63vs Predicted
-
13St. John's College1.42-2.09vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University1.67-3.72vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia3.54-10.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
-
4.11U. S. Naval Academy3.940.2%1st Place
-
7.12George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.33Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
-
9.0American University2.240.0%1st Place
-
4.7Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
-
4.7Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.41University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
-
10.04Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
-
11.37William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.91St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
-
10.28Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
-
5.23University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 16.7% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.