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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.73vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+5.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33+5.64vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+2.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.36vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67+1.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.23+4.94vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.72vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.07vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-4.10vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-5.50vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.26vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-7.57vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-3.29vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.74-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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13.94University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.71University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.91Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 24.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Martina Sly | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 25.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.