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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+8.23vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.41vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+3.57vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.67+3.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+1.96vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+5.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+3.99vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-0.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-1.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+1.83vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-4.45vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.88vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23-1.13vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-7.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.33-7.15vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.87-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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7.96Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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11.99Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.82Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.56Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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13.83University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.87University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
| Martina Sly | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 26.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 25.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.