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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.67+6.51vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+4.70vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+3.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74+5.10vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.97vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-0.77vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.09vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-4.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.55vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-6.35vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.34-2.36vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-4.09vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.23-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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12.1Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.65George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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12.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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13.77University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Martina Sly | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.7% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 22.9% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 17.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.