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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.67+7.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+9.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+2.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.82vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.11vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-1.08vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+1.19vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-5.50vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23-1.10vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-6.93vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-3.28vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.18Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.19Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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13.9University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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12.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Mary Robertson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 27.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 25.1% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.