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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.67+6.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+9.41vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.23+9.73vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.98vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+2.74vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-0.97vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-2.22vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.57vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-0.37vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.34-0.77vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.76-7.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.34vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-8.43vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.67-9.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.52College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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12.41Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.73University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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7.85Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 26.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Martina Sly | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 22.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.