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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.74+11.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+6.98vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+5.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33+5.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.05vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.44vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-1.45vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-2.93vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.34-0.70vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.67-6.79vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-9.69vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.23-2.93vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.26Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.55Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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14.07University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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12.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.2% |
| Martina Sly | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 28.2% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.