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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.80vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+6.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+3.87vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.67+3.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+3.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+1.24vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+0.72vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.34vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.13vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-5.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.59vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-5.59vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.26vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.23-1.94vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.74-4.72vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.34-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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14.06University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 28.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.