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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+4.16vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.77+1.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.94-0.73vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.84+1.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67-2.06vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-2.53vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.84+0.87vs Predicted
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10American University2.24-1.06vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.46-2.65vs Predicted
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12St. John's College1.42-0.88vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.67-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland2.09-4.72vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.27-3.72vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-10.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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9.87Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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8.94American University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.35Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.12St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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10.41Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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11.28William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 17.4% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 14.7% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.