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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+3.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.95vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.41+5.96vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.37+6.09vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+0.69vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.12+1.23vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+5.87vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University0.08+2.25vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06+1.44vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+1.78vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.87-4.03vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.68vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.17-7.07vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.19-3.91vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.19-8.45vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina0.22-6.46vs Predicted
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18Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Jacksonville University2.1017.0%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston2.4919.9%1st Place
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8.96Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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10.09Florida State University0.373.3%1st Place
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5.69University of Miami1.6412.6%1st Place
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7.23North Carolina State University1.127.6%1st Place
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8.49Florida Institute of Technology0.734.5%1st Place
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13.87University of Central Florida-0.460.7%1st Place
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11.25Wake Forest University0.082.1%1st Place
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11.44Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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12.78Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.2%1st Place
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7.97Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
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13.68Embry-Riddle University-0.521.0%1st Place
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6.93Eckerd College1.177.5%1st Place
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11.09The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida1.195.8%1st Place
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10.54University of North Carolina0.222.4%1st Place
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15.06Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 19.9% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Jost | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.