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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+2.58vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.67+2.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.36vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.23+4.91vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-1.04vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+1.24vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34+0.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.56vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.33-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.87-5.31vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.20-11.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.34College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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13.91University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.63Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Martina Sly | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 26.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 21.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.6% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 8.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.