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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+3.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.67vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+1.60vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-0.77vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.67-1.45vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.23+2.20vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.34-0.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-6.98vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-4.04vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.74-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.6George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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14.2University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Martina Sly | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 30.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 20.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.