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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+3.62vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+4.36vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+3.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.23+5.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.42vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+0.08vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-2.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-2.40vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.67-3.69vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34-1.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.28vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.77Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.75University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.6George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 28.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Nikki Medley | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 23.6% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.