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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Logan Russell 7.4% 10.3% 12.6% 11.7% 12.4% 11.1% 11.4% 11.0% 6.4% 4.3% 1.4%
Frank Reeg 8.8% 9.5% 10.1% 12.1% 10.3% 12.8% 9.1% 11.2% 8.4% 5.8% 1.9%
Megan Yeigh 18.1% 16.2% 16.7% 15.3% 10.5% 9.2% 6.4% 4.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
John Cappetta 4.8% 5.6% 7.6% 6.9% 8.9% 8.5% 12.6% 12.8% 14.7% 10.0% 7.6%
Haley Kachmar 3.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.9% 6.2% 8.5% 8.9% 9.4% 13.0% 17.8% 17.7%
Victoria McGruer 7.1% 8.1% 8.3% 10.3% 10.3% 10.0% 13.6% 10.8% 8.6% 8.6% 4.3%
Shannon Killian 9.1% 8.4% 9.4% 10.8% 12.0% 10.7% 10.9% 9.0% 9.9% 6.9% 2.9%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 29.9% 23.9% 15.3% 11.3% 8.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 6.1% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 10.0% 10.5% 9.6% 12.7% 12.4% 10.1% 6.8%
Samuel Campbell 3.9% 5.0% 4.4% 5.5% 7.2% 7.2% 8.5% 10.8% 13.4% 17.9% 16.2%
Lillian Vincens 1.3% 2.0% 3.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.7% 5.8% 6.4% 9.8% 17.7% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.