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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.36+4.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+0.79vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.80+2.68vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.33+2.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-0.07vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-1.40vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-5.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.33-2.48vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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6.68Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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5.93Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.6Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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2.88Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.91Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Russell | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 18.1% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 29.9% | 23.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.