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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.55vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.05+3.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+0.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.36+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.27vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-0.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.33+0.47vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.80-1.68vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.33-1.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.76vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.06Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.32Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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8.91Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 24.9% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Logan Russell | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 19.0% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Samuel Campbell | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| John Cappetta | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.