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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+2.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.36+3.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38-0.97vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+0.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.33+0.48vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08-2.31vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-2.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.33-2.50vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.03Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.92Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.58Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.91Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Logan Russell | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 26.6% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| John Cappetta | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 6.8% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.