Race 4A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Megan Yeigh 17.4% 17.9% 16.3% 13.5% 12.9% 9.9% 5.5% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4%
Frank Reeg 8.5% 9.7% 10.2% 13.3% 10.7% 10.7% 11.6% 10.0% 8.1% 5.7% 1.5%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 25.5% 21.8% 18.1% 11.3% 9.9% 6.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 6.7% 8.1% 7.1% 8.6% 9.9% 11.9% 12.2% 11.8% 10.2% 8.5% 5.0%
Logan Russell 11.2% 10.9% 12.4% 9.8% 11.0% 11.7% 9.6% 9.1% 8.5% 3.9% 1.9%
Shannon Killian 7.4% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 10.8% 11.5% 11.2% 8.5% 8.0% 4.5%
Haley Kachmar 5.0% 3.4% 4.8% 5.5% 7.0% 7.3% 9.5% 10.9% 13.5% 18.1% 15.0%
Liam Ballantyne 7.2% 6.1% 8.1% 10.4% 10.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 11.0% 6.0%
John Cappetta 6.2% 6.4% 5.7% 8.9% 7.5% 10.8% 11.1% 11.8% 12.2% 11.2% 8.2%
Lillian Vincens 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 6.6% 8.1% 8.7% 16.2% 43.3%
Samuel Campbell 3.1% 4.8% 5.7% 5.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.4% 11.1% 16.0% 16.7% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.