Race 5A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Logan Russell 7.7% 11.3% 11.3% 10.5% 14.8% 11.0% 11.4% 9.6% 6.9% 3.5% 2.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 28.1% 22.6% 16.1% 14.0% 7.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 8.3% 10.9% 11.8% 11.0% 11.3% 10.3% 9.2% 4.7%
Megan Yeigh 17.2% 17.0% 18.0% 12.7% 13.0% 7.6% 6.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 8.0% 7.9% 10.5% 8.9% 10.1% 9.9% 11.2% 12.2% 9.1% 8.2% 4.0%
Frank Reeg 8.6% 9.9% 9.8% 12.2% 9.9% 11.3% 10.8% 9.8% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5%
Samuel Campbell 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.9% 7.3% 7.9% 10.5% 10.2% 14.0% 15.3% 16.2%
John Cappetta 6.4% 5.9% 7.9% 8.6% 10.0% 11.0% 10.1% 10.8% 12.3% 11.4% 5.6%
Haley Kachmar 4.3% 4.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 8.3% 8.2% 10.7% 14.5% 17.2% 18.3%
Liam Ballantyne 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 10.2% 7.8% 10.7% 10.6% 11.6% 12.9% 9.3% 5.2%
Lillian Vincens 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 4.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.1% 18.3% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.