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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.51vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+0.98vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.33+4.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.36+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.28vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.33+1.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.79vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64+0.93vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-2.43vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-4.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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2.98Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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7.75Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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7.64Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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8.93Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.57Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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5.72Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.71Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 26.7% | 22.9% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| Logan Russell | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 19.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 41.3% |
| John Cappetta | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.