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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+4.92vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.33+5.63vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+0.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.37vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-0.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.36-2.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-5.13vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-2.45vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.33-2.49vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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5.92Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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2.87Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.55Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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7.51Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.9Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 16.9% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Logan Russell | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 30.4% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.