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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+3.05vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.77+0.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.94-0.70vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.84+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.09+2.06vs Predicted
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8American University2.24+0.81vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.67+1.47vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-6.09vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.46-3.66vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.84-5.77vs Predicted
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14St. John's College1.42-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia3.54-9.95vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.27-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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4.72Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy3.940.1%1st Place
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10.11Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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8.81American University2.240.0%1st Place
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10.47Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.34Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.23George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.97St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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11.27William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Babbitt | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 17.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.