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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.79vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+4.82vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+7.47vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+0.73vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.12+1.02vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.87+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+5.17vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.37+0.79vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.19-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina0.22-1.92vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.85vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University0.08-3.25vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.71vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.17vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79College of Charleston2.4920.2%1st Place
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6.82Eckerd College1.177.1%1st Place
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10.47The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University2.1016.8%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami1.6410.3%1st Place
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7.02North Carolina State University1.127.1%1st Place
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7.77Clemson University0.875.7%1st Place
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13.17University of Central Florida-0.461.2%1st Place
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9.79Florida State University0.373.3%1st Place
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8.69Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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7.22University of South Florida1.196.2%1st Place
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10.08University of North Carolina0.223.4%1st Place
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8.15Florida Institute of Technology0.735.2%1st Place
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10.75Wake Forest University0.082.1%1st Place
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14.29Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.8%1st Place
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12.83Embry-Riddle University-0.521.0%1st Place
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12.1Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 20.2% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 36.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.