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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+4.99vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.36+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38-0.93vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80+1.49vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-0.16vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-4.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.54vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.64-1.05vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.33-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.07Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.49Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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5.84Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.44Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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8.95Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Logan Russell | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 25.3% | 23.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Haley Kachmar | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 20.1% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 42.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.