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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Victoria McGruer 5.1% 7.6% 9.1% 9.8% 12.1% 10.7% 13.0% 12.2% 9.1% 7.6% 3.7%
Frank Reeg 9.4% 8.3% 11.1% 12.2% 10.7% 11.9% 9.6% 11.6% 8.8% 4.4% 2.0%
Logan Russell 9.6% 9.7% 9.9% 12.4% 11.7% 12.9% 10.4% 8.5% 7.8% 4.8% 2.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 25.3% 23.3% 15.8% 14.7% 8.7% 4.8% 4.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
John Cappetta 6.9% 6.6% 6.8% 7.2% 9.3% 10.4% 10.1% 10.9% 12.8% 11.1% 7.9%
Shannon Killian 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 9.9% 10.3% 9.9% 11.8% 11.3% 7.9% 8.5% 4.5%
Haley Kachmar 5.0% 3.8% 5.0% 5.1% 7.5% 6.7% 9.4% 11.6% 14.3% 16.2% 15.4%
Megan Yeigh 20.1% 19.5% 17.1% 11.1% 11.1% 8.5% 6.3% 4.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 6.0% 6.6% 6.6% 8.7% 9.5% 10.2% 11.3% 10.7% 12.3% 10.8% 7.3%
Lillian Vincens 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.4% 2.8% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 9.5% 17.4% 42.2%
Samuel Campbell 3.8% 3.8% 5.3% 6.5% 6.3% 8.8% 7.7% 10.0% 15.3% 17.8% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.