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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+4.92vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.67vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.80+3.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38-0.90vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+2.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-0.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.77vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64+0.93vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.33-1.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.36-4.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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6.65Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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3.1Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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7.61Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.91Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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8.93Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 19.9% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Cappetta | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 25.5% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 40.7% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| Logan Russell | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.