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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Shannon Killian 5.6% 8.3% 8.6% 10.1% 11.1% 11.9% 12.1% 11.7% 10.8% 6.9% 2.9%
Megan Yeigh 19.9% 18.2% 14.8% 12.9% 13.0% 8.9% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
John Cappetta 6.0% 5.2% 7.1% 7.0% 8.8% 9.2% 12.1% 11.6% 14.3% 12.2% 6.5%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 25.5% 21.0% 19.5% 11.6% 8.7% 7.0% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 3.6% 4.7% 3.7% 6.8% 6.3% 6.8% 8.8% 10.7% 13.8% 16.4% 18.4%
Victoria McGruer 7.4% 7.9% 8.3% 11.0% 10.4% 10.8% 10.9% 10.5% 9.3% 10.2% 3.3%
Liam Ballantyne 6.7% 6.6% 7.5% 9.3% 11.0% 9.3% 12.1% 11.6% 10.4% 9.3% 6.2%
Lillian Vincens 2.3% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 6.1% 4.2% 8.4% 10.0% 18.2% 40.7%
Haley Kachmar 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 5.3% 6.3% 7.7% 8.6% 11.7% 14.2% 16.3% 18.5%
Logan Russell 11.1% 10.7% 12.5% 12.4% 10.8% 10.7% 10.6% 9.1% 6.2% 4.7% 1.2%
Frank Reeg 8.3% 11.2% 12.4% 10.6% 10.5% 11.6% 11.6% 8.8% 8.0% 4.9% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.