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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.67vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+2.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.59vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80+1.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-0.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33+0.45vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64+0.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.36-5.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.33-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.67University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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5.99Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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6.5Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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5.93Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.45Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.96Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 26.9% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 19.0% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| John Cappetta | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Haley Kachmar | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 14.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 43.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Logan Russell | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.