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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 26.9% 20.1% 18.4% 13.4% 10.3% 6.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Megan Yeigh 19.0% 19.0% 15.9% 13.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 10.1% 11.5% 12.3% 11.6% 10.1% 8.2% 4.0%
Frank Reeg 7.7% 8.2% 10.0% 11.5% 12.2% 11.0% 10.9% 11.2% 9.7% 5.3% 2.3%
John Cappetta 6.1% 6.4% 8.3% 6.7% 10.5% 9.2% 10.8% 10.1% 12.1% 11.3% 8.5%
Victoria McGruer 7.2% 7.9% 9.3% 10.6% 8.4% 12.0% 10.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.0% 4.4%
Haley Kachmar 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 8.1% 7.0% 10.6% 10.5% 12.7% 17.9% 14.9%
Lillian Vincens 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 5.4% 9.6% 10.1% 15.0% 43.2%
Liam Ballantyne 5.3% 7.8% 7.9% 7.3% 10.0% 9.1% 11.8% 11.1% 10.8% 12.4% 6.5%
Logan Russell 11.1% 11.8% 10.5% 12.7% 10.5% 12.9% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 4.6% 1.1%
Samuel Campbell 3.2% 4.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.9% 11.2% 15.0% 16.3% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.