Race 1B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Craig 10.4% 9.8% 11.9% 12.4% 14.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.6% 5.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 21.5% 23.2% 15.8% 14.2% 9.7% 8.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby McLaughlin 6.5% 5.3% 5.6% 8.4% 9.5% 9.9% 11.8% 14.4% 14.4% 9.9% 4.0% 0.3%
Sean Beaulieu 9.7% 11.3% 13.7% 13.6% 10.9% 12.8% 9.1% 9.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 5.8% 6.8% 8.3% 10.0% 8.7% 12.7% 12.0% 13.7% 9.9% 8.7% 3.3% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 24.4% 20.9% 17.6% 12.8% 10.3% 7.3% 3.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 3.6% 3.7% 4.7% 5.2% 7.2% 7.5% 9.7% 10.0% 18.7% 16.9% 10.5% 2.3%
Jeffrey Adam 9.4% 9.7% 8.7% 9.6% 13.0% 12.0% 13.5% 9.7% 8.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 3.2% 4.2% 7.9% 17.8% 36.0% 24.1%
Amy Macdonald 1.9% 1.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 7.1% 8.6% 13.4% 24.9% 20.9% 7.8%
Rebecca Quirke 5.7% 6.3% 9.5% 9.1% 10.6% 11.3% 12.9% 13.5% 12.2% 5.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Brian Beckert 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 6.3% 19.4% 64.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.