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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robby Gearon 21.9% 20.1% 18.7% 13.5% 9.9% 7.8% 3.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 6.5% 9.5% 9.6% 10.9% 12.3% 11.6% 11.2% 13.3% 9.4% 4.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Kurran Singh 7.2% 6.4% 8.0% 9.2% 8.8% 11.1% 13.8% 14.4% 10.7% 7.4% 2.9% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 23.5% 23.5% 15.7% 13.3% 10.3% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rebecca Quirke 7.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.8% 11.6% 12.9% 12.5% 11.7% 11.3% 7.0% 2.9% 0.4%
Matthew Orgill 3.3% 2.7% 4.4% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 10.7% 11.9% 18.1% 19.5% 9.4% 2.3%
Benjamin Craig 11.4% 11.3% 12.3% 12.5% 13.3% 12.2% 9.1% 9.4% 5.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 12.8% 11.6% 11.7% 11.3% 12.1% 13.4% 9.2% 9.2% 5.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Bobby McLaughlin 3.4% 5.6% 7.5% 10.9% 10.2% 10.1% 14.7% 12.9% 12.9% 8.6% 3.1% 0.1%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.5% 0.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 8.2% 15.8% 35.5% 25.1%
Amy Macdonald 2.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 13.8% 24.7% 23.7% 8.2%
Brian Beckert 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 7.1% 19.5% 63.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.