← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.97+2.31vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.57vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.66+3.07vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.02-0.84vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.73+1.00vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+1.70vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.19-2.20vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.21-3.22vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.50-2.64vs Predicted
-
10Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Bates College0.37-2.00vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University-1.21-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
-
5.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.07Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
-
3.16Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
-
6.0Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.8University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
-
4.78Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.36Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
-
10.1Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.0Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.15Fairfield University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 21.9% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.5% | 23.5% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Orgill | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 35.5% | 25.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 8.2% |
| Brian Beckert | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 19.5% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.