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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.66+5.04vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+2.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+2.40vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.19-0.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97-2.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.76-0.17vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.40+1.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-6.92vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.21+0.09vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.7Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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5.77Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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3.17Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University0.760.0%1st Place
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10.07Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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3.08Brown University3.020.3%1st Place
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11.09Fairfield University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.77Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurran Singh | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 24.6% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Winter | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Emma Haley | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 2.8% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 35.4% | 22.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 25.7% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Beckert | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 17.7% | 64.5% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.