← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kurran Singh 5.5% 7.9% 7.5% 7.4% 12.2% 12.7% 12.9% 13.9% 10.9% 6.7% 2.1% 0.3%
Sean Beaulieu 9.8% 12.7% 12.7% 13.6% 14.0% 12.0% 10.6% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 8.5% 9.4% 8.6% 11.4% 11.8% 12.2% 13.9% 11.2% 9.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Rebecca Quirke 5.5% 7.8% 9.6% 9.9% 13.1% 11.8% 13.7% 12.1% 8.2% 6.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Benjamin Craig 10.5% 11.7% 12.1% 14.3% 13.4% 12.2% 10.6% 8.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 24.6% 19.6% 18.2% 13.5% 10.3% 7.2% 4.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Winter 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 5.5% 6.7% 9.0% 9.8% 13.1% 19.1% 15.4% 5.7% 3.1%
Emma Haley 3.0% 3.1% 4.4% 5.2% 4.9% 7.8% 9.5% 11.4% 15.1% 19.5% 13.3% 2.8%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 0.7% 1.2% 3.0% 2.6% 6.0% 9.6% 16.2% 35.4% 22.5%
Sophie Hibben 25.7% 20.5% 17.6% 14.7% 9.5% 5.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Beckert 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.9% 17.7% 64.5%
Amy Macdonald 1.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 2.1% 5.6% 7.2% 10.1% 14.0% 22.9% 21.7% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.