Race 4B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Craig 11.2% 10.6% 11.6% 12.7% 14.9% 11.2% 12.0% 8.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 24.5% 22.5% 19.0% 13.2% 8.2% 6.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 7.2% 6.1% 8.8% 9.4% 10.1% 11.2% 14.2% 13.7% 10.9% 6.0% 2.3% 0.1%
Jeffrey Adam 5.9% 9.8% 10.6% 12.6% 11.5% 13.4% 12.4% 10.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Sean Beaulieu 11.1% 12.1% 12.7% 13.2% 12.5% 14.1% 8.9% 8.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Haley 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 5.4% 5.5% 5.4% 9.7% 13.3% 16.8% 20.9% 10.7% 3.5%
Daniel Winter 3.1% 5.1% 3.8% 5.0% 7.3% 8.9% 10.8% 12.9% 16.3% 16.1% 8.6% 2.1%
Robby Gearon 26.3% 19.4% 17.3% 11.4% 11.6% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Rebecca Quirke 5.9% 8.5% 9.1% 11.6% 11.7% 13.1% 13.1% 13.3% 8.4% 4.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 3.0% 4.8% 9.4% 14.9% 33.8% 24.3%
Amy Macdonald 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 5.1% 6.8% 9.5% 15.0% 22.6% 22.1% 7.6%
Brian Beckert 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.7% 1.2% 2.2% 4.1% 6.4% 20.0% 62.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.