← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+4.65vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.97+1.25vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.66+3.14vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.50+2.55vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.73+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.21-1.12vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.02-3.88vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-0.41vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.19-4.22vs Predicted
-
10Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.09vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-1.21+0.15vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.37-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
-
3.25Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
-
6.14Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
-
6.55Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
-
5.91Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.88Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
3.12Brown University3.020.3%1st Place
-
7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.78University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
-
10.09Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
11.15Fairfield University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
8.9Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 23.2% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 26.5% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 15.4% | 36.3% | 24.8% |
| Brian Beckert | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 19.6% | 64.4% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 25.0% | 21.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.