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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jeffrey Adam 8.1% 7.6% 9.3% 9.7% 11.7% 12.8% 11.9% 12.7% 9.4% 5.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Robby Gearon 23.2% 21.7% 16.2% 12.9% 10.5% 7.7% 5.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 6.7% 6.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.2% 13.4% 11.1% 12.9% 13.6% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Bobby McLaughlin 4.1% 5.1% 6.5% 9.3% 10.9% 10.6% 11.6% 14.3% 11.5% 11.0% 4.6% 0.5%
Rebecca Quirke 6.2% 7.3% 9.5% 9.7% 11.0% 11.1% 11.8% 13.9% 10.3% 6.1% 3.0% 0.1%
Sean Beaulieu 10.6% 11.7% 11.9% 11.2% 13.0% 12.2% 12.2% 8.3% 6.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 26.5% 20.5% 16.4% 13.4% 9.4% 6.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 2.4% 5.3% 3.9% 4.6% 7.7% 7.1% 8.9% 12.8% 16.8% 18.4% 10.4% 1.7%
Benjamin Craig 9.8% 11.0% 12.9% 15.5% 12.0% 11.4% 12.8% 7.4% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 0.5% 0.6% 1.9% 1.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 3.6% 7.6% 15.4% 36.3% 24.8%
Brian Beckert 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 3.6% 6.1% 19.6% 64.4%
Amy Macdonald 1.3% 2.6% 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 3.6% 6.4% 9.6% 14.6% 25.0% 21.4% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.