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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.66+5.18vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.51vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+0.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.50+2.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02-1.84vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73-0.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-2.24vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.40+2.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.19-5.20vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.37-1.99vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.21-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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3.24Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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3.16Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.94Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.76Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.12Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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9.01Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.17Fairfield University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurran Singh | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 23.3% | 22.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 24.0% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 36.9% | 25.3% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 12.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 25.3% | 24.4% | 7.5% |
| Brian Beckert | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 19.3% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.